Federal Reserve
The S&P 500’s highs in 2025 reflect optimism, but also pose a challenge: markets are increasingly driven by Federal Reserve policy, rather than fundamentals. This reliance adds risk, but also opportunity for investors who adapt to a changing macro-policy landscape.
On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve announced a 0.25 percentage point reduction in the federal funds rate, setting the new target range at 4.25% to 4.5%
The FOMC reduced the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%–4.75%, citing solid GDP growth, easing inflation, and resilient labor markets. Despite progress, core inflation at 2.7% remains elevated, and risks in commercial real estate and household debt warrant monitoring.
Effective communication, transparency, and a data-driven approach are integral to the central bank’s efforts to promote sustainable economic growth, job creation, and price stability.
Banking on the Brink
Federal Reserve’s Dual Mandate
Bond Markets
The Fed’s Dilemma: Balancing Inflation and Economic Growth
Policy Over Profits: The Fed and the S&P 500
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